I'm sitting in my Mission Valley office in San Diego, a fresh cup of coffee warming my hands as I gaze out at the city skyline. The first rays of sunlight catch the glass façades of neighboring buildings, creating a cascade of light. My engineering team is humming along beautifully. Our two-week sprints have a comfortable rhythm. Features are being shipped. Bugs are being fixed. We've reached that coveted state of equilibrium where I can finally breathe, think strategically, and guide the technology vision without constant firefighting.
Then my phone buzzes. It's a Slack notification from our Senior Engineer.
"Check out what I just built with Claude + GitHub Copilot. The prototype is ready. Took 2 hours instead of the 3 days we planned."
I nearly spill my coffee. I had estimated we'd need the whole week just to get a working proof of concept. I had meetings scheduled to review progress, brainstorm solutions, and tackle roadblocks. But now, apparently, we have a working prototype already.
My calendar suddenly feels like a wasteland of unnecessary meetings. The buffer I'd carefully built into our development cycle had vanished into thin air. The comfortable rhythm I'd established over years of managing engineering teams just got completely disrupted by a bunch of tokens and parameters.
This is my new reality. The tools of generative AI have arrived in my engineering department, and they've brought time compression with them. What used to take days now takes hours. What used to take hours now takes minutes. And I, the CTO, am not prepared for this acceleration.
My team is churning out code faster than I can validate their direction. They're implementing features faster than I can confirm they're the right features. They're solving problems faster than I can ensure we're solving the right problems. The luxury of time, the buffer that allowed me to think, plan, and steer the ship, has been ripped from my hands.
I've always prided myself on being a capable technology leader. I've led teams through complex projects, navigated technical debt, and balanced innovation with stability. But now I'm realizing I've been relying heavily on the inherent time constraints of software development to give me space to lead. And those constraints are rapidly dissolving.
I need to adapt. Fast. My role has evolved beyond managing resources. Now, it requires making decisions, setting direction, and validating work at the speed of AI-assisted development. If I can't keep up, I'll become the bottleneck, and my team will either slow down to my pace (wasting their potential) or, worse, race ahead without proper guidance (potentially wasting company resources on the wrong priorities.)
This was my wake-up call. It was the moment I realized that the most critical skill for a CTO in the age of AI isn't technical knowledge, system architecture expertise, or even team management. It's the ability to operate at a new velocity—to think, decide, and guide at the pace of AI-accelerated development.
The Evaporating Buffer
For decades, CTOs have enjoyed a luxury we rarely acknowledge – time. Software development has inherent friction. It takes time to write code, test it, debug it, review it, and deploy it. Even with agile methodologies and DevOps practices streamlining these processes, there's always been a natural buffer built into development timelines.
This buffer has given us breathing room. Time to think, plan, validate, and course-correct. Time to ensure we're building the right things before investments become too deep. Time to align with business needs and market conditions.
But generative AI tools are evaporating this buffer.
According to a 2023 McKinsey report, developers using AI coding assistants report productivity gains of 20-40% for routine coding tasks and up to 70% for certain programming challenges.1 GitHub's own data suggests Copilot is helping developers code up to 55% faster.2
These aren't minor incremental improvements. They're transformative changes in development velocity.
What does this mean for CTOs?
It means the luxury of time is disappearing. The pace at which your team can deliver solutions is accelerating dramatically, and this acceleration will only continue as AI tools improve. A prototype that used to take a week might now take a day, and a feature that needed a sprint might be done before lunchtime.
The New Bottleneck: Leadership Decision Velocity
As your development team's velocity increases, a new bottleneck emerges – your ability to make decisions, provide guidance, and validate direction at the same pace.
Consider the traditional development cycle:
You align on priorities and requirements
The team estimates work and builds a timeline
Development proceeds according to this timeline
You check in periodically, course-correct as needed
The work is completed, reviewed, and deployed
This process allowed you, the CTO, to stay ahead of the development curve. You had time to think about what comes next while the team was executing on current priorities.
But what happens when steps 2-4 compress dramatically? When does the time between "we should build this" and "it's built" shrink from weeks to days or even hours?
Suddenly, you're the bottleneck. Your team is ready to move on to the next task, but you haven't had time to validate the current work, align on new priorities, or think strategically about what comes next.
This isn't just a theoretical concern. A 2024 survey by Andreessen Horowitz found that 42% of engineering leaders reported that decision-making speed has become their biggest challenge since adopting AI coding tools, outranking technical debt and talent acquisition for the first time.3
Rethinking the CTO Role in the AI Era
To thrive in this new landscape, CTOs need to rethink their role and operating model fundamentally. Here's what I believe the future of CTO leadership looks like in the age of AI:
1. Shift from Resource Manager to Vision Navigator
Traditionally, CTOs have spent significant time managing scarce engineering resources, allocating them carefully to maximize output within constraints. This mindset is becoming obsolete as AI amplifies developer productivity.
Instead, the modern CTO must become a Vision Navigator – someone who can chart a clear course through rapidly changing technological landscapes and keep the team aligned to this vision as they move at unprecedented speed.
This means spending less time on "How many developer days will this take?" and more time on "How does this advance our strategic objectives?" and "What should we build next?"
2. Develop Rapid Validation Frameworks
When your team can build a prototype in hours instead of days, you need the ability to validate and provide feedback just as quickly. This requires developing frameworks that allow you to assess work against strategic objectives and user needs rapidly.
Some approaches I've found effective:
Create clear, documented decision criteria for different types of projects
Build tight feedback loops with end users or customer proxies
Maintain a continuously updated prioritized backlog that teams can pull from
Use data and metrics to validate assumptions quickly
Amazon's famous "working backward" approach – starting with a press release for a product before building it – is an example of a framework that can help align teams quickly around outcomes rather than features.
3. Embrace Continuous Strategic Thinking
The traditional model of quarterly or annual strategic planning cycles doesn't work when development velocity increases by orders of magnitude. Strategy can no longer be an event – it must be a continuous process.
This means developing habits and systems for continuous strategic thinking:
Schedule regular, short strategic reflection sessions (daily or weekly)
Create rapid feedback mechanisms to inform strategy
Become comfortable with evolving strategies based on new information
Delegate more tactical decisions while maintaining strategic alignment
4. Rethink Development Cadences
The two-week sprint made perfect sense in a world where building a feature took days or weeks. But what about when it takes hours?
Some organizations are already experimenting with much shorter cycles – daily sprints or even continuous flow models. Others maintain longer planning horizons but allow for more dynamic execution within them.
There's no one-size-fits-all answer here, but the key is to recognize that your development cadence was designed for a certain work velocity. As that velocity changes, your cadence needs to adapt.
Are You Ready for Time Compression?
The questions I ask myself and that I pose to you are simple: Are you ready for this compression of time? Are you prepared to lead at the speed that AI-enhanced development enables?
It’s not about keeping up with your team. It's about ensuring that your company's resources – your engineering organization's time, talent, and energy – are directed toward the highest-value activities.
In a world where building is becoming ever easier and faster, the true differentiator isn't how quickly you can implement something – how quickly and confidently you can decide what to implement.
The new competitive advantage for CTOs is decision velocity coupled with strategic clarity.
Building Your Time Compression Muscles
So, how do you prepare yourself to thrive in this new environment? Here are some practical steps:
1. Streamline Your Decision-Making Process
Identify where decisions bottleneck in your organization and systematically eliminate friction. Create clear frameworks allowing faster, more autonomous decision-making while maintaining alignment.
2. Increase Your Learning Velocity
Just as development velocity increases, your learning velocity also needs to increase. This means building systems for rapid experimentation, feedback, and adaptation.
3. Develop Better Questioning Skills
In a time-compressed environment, asking the right questions becomes more valuable than having the right answers. Develop your ability to quickly identify any situation's core issues, assumptions, and trade-offs.
4. Create Clearer Vision Artifacts
When teams move faster, they need stronger guardrails to ensure they're moving in the right direction. Invest time creating clear, inspiring vision artifacts that can guide autonomous work.
5. Practice Strategic Refactoring
Just as code sometimes needs refactoring, so too does strategy. Develop the habit of regularly reassessing and refining your strategic direction based on new information and outcomes.
The Future Belongs to the Fast
The tools of AI-assisted development are creating a step-change in how quickly software can be built, tested, and deployed. This change creates both risk and opportunity for CTOs.
The risk is becoming the bottleneck. The leader who can't keep pace with their team's newfound velocity.
The opportunity is leveraging this velocity to create unprecedented value – to try more ideas, test more hypotheses, and deliver more impact in less time.
Your choices now will determine which path you take. Will you double down on processes designed for a slower era, or will you reinvent your leadership for the age of time compression?
I've made my choice. I'm rebuilding my calendar, rethinking my decision processes, and recommitting to the continuous strategic thinking that this new era demands.
The future belongs to the fast – not just in development but in leadership. It's time for CTOs to embrace time compression and learn to lead at the speed of AI.
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https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/unleashing-developer-productivity-with-generative-ai
https://github.blog/news-insights/research/research-quantifying-github-copilots-impact-on-developer-productivity-and-happiness/
https://a16z.com/ai-and-the-promise-of-hardware-iteration-at-software-speed/
Great post.